Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.111529 0.121048 0.131235 0.142990 0.156226 0.170727 0.187891
2024-10-06 0.098057 0.111497 0.126840 0.145815 0.168877 0.196293 0.231806
2024-10-13 0.085726 0.100498 0.118103 0.140936 0.170231 0.207216 0.258552
2024-10-20 0.076720 0.092018 0.110852 0.136196 0.170136 0.215135 0.281334
2024-10-27 0.069992 0.085521 0.105153 0.132395 0.170230 0.222574 0.303688
2024-11-03 0.068032 0.084794 0.106602 0.137900 0.183177 0.248941 0.357282
2024-11-10 0.066820 0.084844 0.108939 0.144654 0.198422 0.280422 0.424332
2024-11-17 0.063726 0.082064 0.107091 0.145129 0.204227 0.297970 0.471359
2024-11-24 0.060230 0.078461 0.103769 0.143044 0.205705 0.308514 0.507664
2024-12-01 0.056824 0.074757 0.100016 0.139933 0.205117 0.315335 0.538019
2024-12-08 0.053346 0.070747 0.095551 0.135337 0.201581 0.316475 0.557175
2024-12-15 0.051224 0.068572 0.093650 0.134589 0.204352 0.329132 0.602512
2024-12-22 0.049167 0.066518 0.092002 0.134453 0.208763 0.346582 0.665296
2024-12-29 0.047764 0.065374 0.091696 0.136540 0.217461 0.373942 0.759752
2025-01-05 0.044959 0.061961 0.087644 0.131996 0.213530 0.375337 0.790903
2025-01-12 0.042431 0.058845 0.083876 0.127646 0.209497 0.375920 0.820292
2025-01-19 0.040289 0.056220 0.080745 0.124163 0.206761 0.378878 0.857295
2025-01-26 0.040065 0.056554 0.082388 0.129203 0.221234 0.422377 1.028294
2025-02-02 0.040046 0.057197 0.084564 0.135378 0.238812 0.476918 1.262647
2025-02-09 0.038954 0.056065 0.083690 0.135813 0.244398 0.503341 1.414629
2025-02-16 0.037522 0.054314 0.081668 0.133908 0.244686 0.516203 1.522196
2025-02-23 0.036021 0.052388 0.079247 0.131063 0.242591 0.522382 1.606429
2025-03-02 0.034381 0.050173 0.076227 0.126857 0.237020 0.518156 1.644496